IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Mississippi St.
Southeastern
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.9	#72
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.0	#276
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+5.1	#54

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.8	#95

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.6%	1.0%	0.2%
Top 2 Seed	1.4%	2.5%	0.7%
Top 4 Seed	4.4%	7.3%	2.3%
Top 6 Seed	8.9%	14.5%	4.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid	31.6%	43.8%	22.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	29.2%	40.9%	20.6%
Average Seed	8.0	7.7	8.5

.500 or above	55.3%	71.0%	43.6%
.500 or above in Conference	44.6%	54.1%	37.5%
Conference Champion	3.6%	5.2%	2.4%
Last Place in Conference	10.3%	5.8%	13.6%

First Four	3.4%	3.9%	3.0%
First Round	29.7%	41.5%	20.9%
Second Round	15.5%	22.8%	10.0%
Sweet Sixteen	5.8%	8.9%	3.4%
Elite Eight	2.1%	3.3%	1.3%
Final Four	0.8%	1.4%	0.3%
Championship Game	0.4%	0.7%	0.1%
National Champion	0.2%	0.4%	0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Neutral) - 42.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 4	1 - 4
Quad 1b	2 - 3	2 - 7
Quad 2	4 - 4	7 - 11
Quad 3	4 - 2	11 - 13
Quad 4	3 - 0	14 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	49	Clemson	L	67-69	43%
Nov 30, 2020	143	Texas St.	W	72-62	81%
Dec 04, 2020	95	North Texas	W	69-64	70%
Dec 08, 2020	300	Jackson St.	W	78-59	95%
Dec 12, 2020	47	Dayton	L	71-73	42%
Dec 16, 2020	285	Central Arkansas	W	87-69	94%
Dec 30, 2020	94	@ Georgia	L	73-74	47%
Jan 02, 2021	11	Kentucky	L	69-74	34%
Jan 05, 2021	66	Missouri	W	70-68	58%
Jan 09, 2021	120	@ Vanderbilt	W	74-72	56%
Jan 13, 2021	78	Texas A&M	W	68-64	62%
Jan 16, 2021	22	Florida	L	67-70	41%
Jan 19, 2021	61	Mississippi	W	72-70	55%
Jan 23, 2021	32	@ Alabama	L	76-83	28%
Jan 26, 2021	20	@ Tennessee	L	63-72	22%
Jan 30, 2021	71	Iowa St.	W	76-73	60%
Feb 02, 2021	46	@ Arkansas	L	72-77	33%
Feb 06, 2021	59	@ South Carolina	L	73-77	36%
Feb 10, 2021	30	LSU	L	76-77	46%
Feb 13, 2021	120	Vanderbilt	W	77-69	73%
Feb 16, 2021	60	@ Auburn	L	71-75	36%
Feb 20, 2021	61	@ Mississippi	L	69-73	36%
Feb 24, 2021	59	South Carolina	W	76-74	56%
Feb 27, 2021	32	Alabama	L	79-80	47%
Mar 03, 2021	78	@ Texas A&M	L	65-67	43%
Projected Record						13 - 12	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southeastern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.5	1.1	1.0	0.7	0.2	0.0		3.6	1st
2nd												0.2	0.9	1.9	1.4	0.4	0.1				5.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	1.3	2.3	1.9	0.5	0.0					6.0	3rd
4th										0.0	0.9	3.1	1.9	0.4	0.0						6.4	4th
5th									0.0	0.8	3.2	2.8	0.5	0.0							7.3	5th
6th								0.0	0.4	2.7	3.8	0.8	0.0								7.8	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	1.9	4.4	1.3	0.1									8.0	7th
8th							0.1	1.3	4.3	2.3	0.2	0.0									8.3	8th
9th						0.0	0.8	3.9	3.6	0.5	0.0										8.8	9th
10th					0.0	0.4	3.0	3.7	1.1	0.0											8.3	10th
11th				0.0	0.4	2.5	3.9	1.5	0.1												8.3	11th
12th			0.0	0.4	2.1	3.7	1.9	0.2													8.3	12th
13th		0.0	0.4	2.1	2.9	1.9	0.3	0.0													7.7	13th
14th	0.3	0.9	2.0	1.9	0.9	0.2															6.2	14th

Total	0.3	0.9	2.4	4.4	6.4	8.7	10.0	10.8	11.5	10.8	9.6	8.3	5.7	4.7	2.9	1.5	0.7	0.2	0.0			Total

Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	91.5%	0.7		0.6	0.1
15-3	68.6%	1.0		0.7	0.3	0.0
14-4	36.1%	1.1		0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-5	10.5%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	1.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.6%	3.6		2.1	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	45.0%	55.0%	1.3		0.0	0.0	0.0																100.0%
17-1	0.2%		100.0%	28.6%	71.4%	1.7		0.1	0.1	0.0																100.0%
16-2	0.7%		100.0%	24.2%	75.8%	2.3		0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0													100.0%
15-3	1.5%		100.0%	25.2%	74.8%	3.5		0.2	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0									100.0%
14-4	2.9%		100.0%	16.4%	83.6%	5.0		0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0							0.0		100.0%
13-5	4.7%		99.0%	10.5%	88.6%	6.5		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.7	0.9	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.0		98.9%
12-6	5.7%		92.2%	10.2%	82.1%	7.8			0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.6	1.1	1.0	1.0	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0				0.4		91.3%
11-7	8.3%		77.4%	5.0%	72.4%	9.1				0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.6	1.1	1.5	1.1	1.1	0.5	0.1				1.9		76.2%
10-8	9.6%		56.7%	3.7%	53.1%	10.0					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.0	1.2	1.3	0.8	0.1				4.2		55.1%
9-9	10.8%		29.3%	1.5%	27.7%	10.8							0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.8	1.0	0.2	0.0			7.6		28.2%
8-10	11.5%		8.1%	1.5%	6.7%	11.1							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		10.6		6.8%
7-11	10.8%		1.4%	0.6%	0.8%	12.2											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		10.7		0.8%
6-12	10.0%		0.9%	0.7%	0.2%	12.9												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		9.9		0.2%
5-13	8.7%		0.1%	0.1%		12.1													0.0	0.0				8.7
4-14	6.4%		0.1%	0.1%		12.0													0.0					6.4
3-15	4.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	4.4
2-16	2.4%																							2.4
1-17	0.9%																							0.9
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		31.6%	3.4%	28.2%	8.0		0.6	0.9	1.3	1.7	2.0	2.4	3.4	3.9	4.2	3.7	3.9	2.8	0.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	68.4		29.2%